Probability

  BetDevil Analysis

Home team Gremio have a home record of 11-3-1 (W-D-L) for their 15 home games this season, 36 points from a possible 45. That's a home points average of 2.40 compared to 1.83 for all games this season. Gremio's recent points average is 1.67, 10 points from 6 games 3-1-2 (W-D-L)

Away team Chapecoense have an away record of 1-5-9 (W-D-L) for their 15 away games this season, 8 points from a possible 45. That's an away points average of 0.53 compared to 1.17 for all games this season. Chapecoense's recent points average is 0.83, 5 points from 6 games;

Comparing Gremio's home games versus Chapecoense's away games (30 in total), there have been 67% Home Wins, 27% Draws and 7% Away Wins (20-8-2). A similar comparison for all Gremio's games versus all Chapecoense's games (60 in total) produces the following: 48% Home Wins, 25% Draws and 27% Away Wins (29-15-16).

Form : WWDLWWDDDD - Last game reads right to left.

  League Goal Analysis

Gremio have a recent goal tally of 9-7(6 games), season total of 43-26 from 36 games. Chapecoense have a recent goal tally of 7-10(6 games), season total of 26-34 from 27 games.

The number of goals average for the most recent games involving both these teams is 2.75(33 goals in 12 games), the season average being 2.15 (129 goals in 60 games).

  Ratings Analysis

Home Team Gremio (1565) look far too strong for Chapecoense (764) in RateForm terms. Gremio (600) have proved to be stronger than Chapecoense (318) in Recent Form terms. Gremio (658) are ahead of Chapecoense (420) by League Form. Gremio (1258) are ahead of Chapecoense (738) by Combo Form.

Gremio are ahead of Chapecoense in all rating categories, indicating a Home Win. The greater the ratings values the greater the possibility.

Match Ratings : RateForm ((800)) | Recent Form (281) | League Form (237) | League Form (518)

Gremio's Team Ratings : RateForm (1565) | Recent Form (600) | League Form (658) | Combo Form (1258)
Chapecoense's Team Ratings : RateForm (764) | Recent Form (318) | League Form (420) | Combo Form (738))

Average Team Ratings : RateForm (1000) | Recent Form (400) | League Form (400)
RateForm is based on Professor Elo's Chess Player Ratings. Recent Form is calculated using team's last 6 matches. League Form is calculated using team's matches this season. Combo Form is the combination of Recent Form and League Form. The home team is awarded 100 points for home advantage in Match RateForm.

  Sequences & Streaks Analysis

League Matches
Gremio are on a 2 game home winning streak. Gremio are undefeated in their last 3 games. Gremio have gone 4 home games without a draw.
Chapecoense have not won in their last 11 away games.

All Matches
Gremio are undefeated in their last 5 games. Gremio are undefeated in their last 3 home games.
Chapecoense are undefeated in their last 3 games. Chapecoense have not won in their last 13 away games.